Friday Flutter: Liverpool to run rampant again

Welcome back folks, as I said the other day it feels so weird sitting down and writing again. But, the Friday Flutter has always been my favourite piece to scribe, my name is Daniel Statham, and I am here to try and earn you a little extra pocket money, some extra beer tokens, some wonga. 

Everton v Crystal Palace

As an author, I am not enjoying these Friday night matches. Creates a real editorial stress for those like myself who like to leave things to the last minute. This weeks game sees Crystal Palace head to Merseyside to face a Everton side that suffered a surprise defeat at the Vitality Stadium last weekend. Palace themselves, won a remarkable match at Sunderland following going down 2-0 and turning it around to win 3-2 with a Christian Benteke last minute winner. With that win it made it three wins from three games for Alan Pards’ men, following only picking up one point in their first three matches. Palace are without defeat at Goodison Park in the last 11 years, but, that was a lacklustre Moyes side followed by an even more lackadaisical Roberto Martinez Everton side. The stats make for grim reading for the home side, with Everton only having won of their last 6 clashes with Crystal Palace, the latest of which was in January of last year, courtesy to a Romelu Lukaku goal. Should Everton come out victorious, this will be their best start to a season since the 2004/05 campaign. Simultaneously, should Palace win, they would equal their record of three top flight away victories. This should be a real humdinger of a Friday night match, with two of their last 3 meetings ending 3-2 (both times Palace won by that scoreline), and with an international break coming up there is every chance that Romelu Lukaku and Christian Benteke will be battling it out for who leads the line in Roberto Martinez’s next squad submission. With two full-strength potent attacking sides I expect goals, I also expect Ronald Koeman’s side to take the three points.

Betting: Over 4.5 @ 4/1

Also: Christian Benteke to score anytime @ 21/10 and Romelu Lukaku to score anytime @ 11/10

Swansea v Liverpool

Liverpool are slowing turning themselves into the realistic Premier League contenders I had hoped for and that Ollie had predicted on our site before the season even started (link:http://www.behindthegoal.co.uk/premier-league-2016-17-unfancied-liverpool-surprise/). Liverpool last week shipped five goals past Eldin Jakupovic (must to my disdain as he is my Fantasy league goalie), and to tell the truth the Liverpool strike force and midfield looks very potent, certainly something I would not want to face anytime soon. Unfortunately for struggling Swansea, the Merseyside club arrive at the Liberty Stadium for the lunchtime kick off and I don’t expect them to give the Welsh side any liberties. Liverpool lie in fourth position currently alongside a bunch of teams on the unlucky 13 point marker. Having won their last three in the league (5-1 against Hull, 2-1 against Chelsea and 4-1 against Leicester) and easing three goals past Derby in the midst of that in the cup, the goals market seems a real favourite way to play this match. With Swansea looking shaky to say the least, and defensive frailty being a common issue for them in their stay in the Premier League, especially in the post-Williams era, I expect a bundle of goals on Saturday lunchtime.

Betting: Sadio Mane to score anytime @ 7/5

Also: Over 3.5 @ 29/20

Hull v Chelsea

Antonio Conte has had a few hard weeks as Chelsea boss, but nothing compares to the job that Mike Phelan had on his hands come the first week of this season. Hull have however impressed and surpassed my expectations, especially with victory against the Champions right at the start of the season. Chelsea had started off very well as well, the rust was well and truly blown off in their early games this season. But recently, they’ve suffered some issues, which was well summarised by their thrashing at the hands of Arsenal last weekend. It’s remarkable how similar their stories have been this year, both sides started off well, winning some games and now both teams have found themselves in an early season slump. Hull won their first two and are now four games without victory and Chelsea themselves are without a win in the league in their last three games. For me, even though these teams are finely balanced on form, this will be a resounding Hull victory assuming everything goes to plan. Two of Chelsea’s last three were against Arsenal and Liverpool who seem a cut above this season, and in all honesty Hull lack the quality and the squad depth that their recent rivals had. I expect Chelsea to win comfortably, but Antonio best not get complacent, as I wouldn’t put a surprise/shock result to happen here this weekend, the Tigers are more than capable. Though, the stats, make grim reading for Hull fans, having not beaten Chelsea this century, and only beating them four times out of 44 matches, and the most damming of all, never having beaten Chelsea in the Premier League.

Betting: Diego Costa to score first and Chelsea to win @ 3/1

Also: Eden Hazard to score anytime @ 6/4

Sunderland v West Brom 

The clash of the two managers that have suffered the most jokes about their playing style. Sunderland looked dismal even before last week, but following their capitulation against Crystal Palace I must say look desperate. Albion have had a fairly indifferent start, suffering a surprise defeat to Bournemouth and then a surprise win against West Ham and then a surprise draw against lowly Stoke last weekend. Although, the less said about Sunderland the better, I’m going to try and keep this short and sweet. I can only see two possible results here, either 0-0 (the last two games these two faced off in ended 0-0) or a 1-0 victory to the away side, sorry David and sorry Sunderland fans, but you’ll have to prove to me that you know how to win a game following last week and the extending of your dismal run (1 win in their last 13 league games). Some salvation is that the Black Cat’s saviour from last year is now unemployed again! I wonder what the odds on that would be…

Betting: 0-0 @ 15/2 

Also: 1-0 to WBA @ 15/2

Watford v Bournemouth

Two teams clash at Vicarage Road that had very dramatically different results last weekend. Bournemouth stopped the mini rot and beat Everton at home, whilst Watford lost away from home at Burnley on Monday evening which was about as disappointing as it could have been. Watford will be hoping to bounce back against Bournemouth this weekend, but with AFCB having such a better result last weekend, the confidence and the good vibes are definitely with the South Coast side. Although the stats do suggest a Watford win is more likely, especially with the away side without a win on the road since April. Watford have been very much chalk and cheese this season thus far, and who knows what side will turn up tomorrow. What we do know is that the stats make grim reading for supporters of both sides, and attendees of the match. Four of the last five games have ended in a draw. Bournemouth have only won once in their last 14 games against Watford (D6, L7). Watford are also without a clean sheet in their last 17 games, but with Bournemouth having only scored 1 goal on the road all season, and having a goals-per-game average of 0.67 (the worst in the Premier League) quite possibly anything could happen tomorrow.

Betting: BTTS and draw @ 17/5

Also: Watford @ HT and Draw @ FT @ 14/1

West Ham v Middlesbrough

The final game of the Saturday 3 o’clocks features West Ham and Boro. The Hammers have definitely had some teething issues since their move into the London Stadium, and the rosy picture that was painted last season feels so very far away again. Aitor Karanka’s Boro have had a decent start to the season, having picked up five points from their first three and then no points in their next three. Slaven Bilic’s West Ham find themselves in the relegation zone and in all honesty I can see them ending the rot this week when Boro come to town. They’ve struggled with Dimitri Payet lacking the fine form he showed last season, but he seems to be getting back to his brilliant best, and as soon as he starts firing again West Ham will begin to fly up the table again. With Boro seeming a little lacklustre in their most recent games, they need a revival themselves, and unfortunately for the Hammers I can still see them taking points away from the London Stadium. Especially if West Ham displays some of the clear frailties they’ve been showing in recent weeks. Statistically speaking, West Ham have lost five out of their first 6 for the first time ever in their history, and another defeat would make it five in a row, their worst run since 2011 another record that they would like to avoid. Boro have only won once in their last 12 games and have lost their last five away trips to London. The stats make grim reading but this is a hard one to predict, I think I’m going to go for a West Ham win, but I must say that selection is the most hesitant one in this whole article.

Betting: Dimitri Payet to score anytime @ 23/10

Also: Payet to score first and West Ham to win 2-1 @ 33/1

 

Statham’s Pick Six:

Newcastle to beat Rotherham

Norwich to beat Wolves

Millwall to beat Walsall

Charlton to beat Rochdale

Plymouth to beat Yeovil

Luton to beat Cheltenham

odds: 75/1

Statham’s Euro Pick Six:

Lazio to beat Udinese

Dortmund to beat Leverkusen

Liverpool to beat Swansea

Napoli to beat Atalanta

Atletico Madrid to beat Valencia

Villarreal to beat Espanyol

odds: 58/1

 

All odds supplied by Betfair. Please Gamble responsibly!